Spring forecast 2026

On Tuesday 3 March, the government published the Office for Budget Responsibility's latest set of economic and fiscal forecast.

The government previously announced its intention to move to one fiscal event a year, an autumn budget. This meant that, compared to previous years, there were fewer new policy announcements alongside the forecast. We have argued that this will help government to make better policy.

The OBR's forecast set out the state of the UK economy and the public finances but, as announced by the chancellor at the 2025 autumn budget, it did not make an explicit judgement about whether the government is on track to meet its fiscal rules.

Follow our explainers and analysis on the spring forecast.