Many forecasts of the consequences of a no deal Brexit have concentrated on the longer-term ‘big picture’. Gemma Tetlow applauds the IMF for pointing out how disruptive it could be in the short term unless softened by a number of side deals.
The Government is laying out how the country can prepare for a ‘no deal’ Brexit. But Tim Durrant says this is only the beginning of no deal preparation – big questions remain over citizens’ rights and, of course, the Northern Ireland border.
The EU has published a document spelling out the consequences of there being no Brexit agreement by the end of March next year. Jill Rutter sets out the issues the Government needs to address in response.
Cabinet ministers will reportedly be offered “the softest of Brexits” when they arrive at Chequers. But, argues Joe Owen, No.10 appears to be assuming the EU will accept the ending of freedom of movement.
If it’s to be worth the wait, the long-promised Brexit white paper needs to give UK negotiators a clear mandate for phase two, rather than more options. Jill Rutter sets out the questions the white paper needs to answer.
The UK’s ‘backstop’ for the Irish border, its version of the insurance policy if every other option fails, contains a vague time limit. While it may initially seem like a victory for the Brexiteers, it leaves three big issues outstanding, argues Tim Durrant.
As London navel-gazes, the other EU member states are busy forging a future without the UK. The longer we take to decide what Brexit means, the more likely we are to be left behind, argues Tim Durrant.