Chilcot: what should we expect?

, 4 July 2016

Intelligence The intelligence failures that supported the decision to invade Iraq have been well explored, including by the Butler Review, which Sir John Chilcot participated in. Iraq was a fabricator’s paradise: there was a high demand for intelligence, but a short supply. Although the intelligence failures were shared with the UK’s main allies, it...

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Conservative leadership contests: past and present

, 3 July 2016

Conservative leadership contests have proved to be notoriously tricky to predict. However, a look back at the history does provide a few lessons to ponder: Being favourite is no guarantee of success Boris Johnson’s last minute decision not to run may provide him with a place in the history books alongside the likes of...

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Brexit – but what about the Queen’s speech?

, 1 July 2016

In May, the Queen’s Speech set out legislative programme for the 2016-17 parliamentary session. Now in July, we have what is effectively a caretaker government, cabinet ministers vying for the top job, and an Opposition party in disarray. But the Government was already under pressure before this referendum. It set an ambitious agenda upon taking...

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What is happening to government’s existing policies and projects?

, 1 July 2016

A number of delays to government business have already been announced. Ministers have pushed back the decision on a third runway at Heathrow until at least October, and the contracting process for the Health and Work Programme which was due to begin this month has been delayed until August. As political and economic uncertainty...

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Negotiating Brexit: with whom?

, 30 June 2016

There are four phases of negotiation, some of which may end up happening concurrently: Agreeing the terms of the negotiation – when it starts, what is on the table and who is involved Agreeing the terms of the divorce, including budget matters and the respective rights of nationals living in the UK and EU,...

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The UK’s influence in the EU in the run up to Brexit

, 30 June 2016

What we know Until the UK agrees a treaty to leave the EU (or invokes Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty and fails to reach agreement within the two-year time limit) it will continue to be a member of the EU. In the interim, the UK will: retain access to the Single Market continue...

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